A radiomics-based model for the outcome prediction in COVID-19 positive patients through deep learning with both longitudinal chest x-ray and chest computed tomography images

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic had a major impact on global health and was associated with millions of deaths worldwide. During the pandemic, imaging characteristics of chest X-ray (CXR) and chest computed tomography (CT) played an important role in the screening, diagnosis and monitoring the disease progression. Various studies suggested that quantitative image analysis methods including artificial intelligence and radiomics can greatly boost the value of imaging in the management of COVID-19. However, few studies have explored the use of longitudinal multi-modal medical images with varying visit intervals for outcome prediction in COVID-19 patients. This study aims to explore the potential of longitudinal multimodal radiomics in predicting the outcome of COVID-19 patients by integrating both CXR and CT images with variable visit intervals through deep learning. 2274 patients who underwent CXR and/or CT scans during disease progression were selected for this study. Of these, 946 patients were treated at the University of Pennsylvania Health System (UPHS) and the remaining 1328 patients were acquired at Stony Brook University (SBU) and curated by the Medical Imaging and Data Resource Center (MIDRC). 532 radiomic features were extracted with the Cancer Imaging Phenomics Toolkit (CaPTk) from the lung regions in CXR and CT images at all visits. We employed two commonly used deep learning algorithms to analyze the longitudinal multimodal features, and evaluated the prediction results based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Our models achieved testing AUC scores of 0.816 and 0.836, respectively, for the prediction of mortality. © 2023 SPIE.

DEEP LEARNING BASED AN EFFICIENT HYBRID PREDICTION MODEL FOR COVID-19 CROSS-COUNTRY SPREAD AMONG E7 AND G7 COUNTRIES

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused the death of many people around the world and has also caused economic problems for all countries in the world. In the literature, there are many studies to analyze and predict the spread of COVID-19 in cities and countries. However, there is no study to predict and analyze the cross-country spread in the world. In this study, a deep learning based hybrid model was developed to predict and analysis of COVID-19 cross-country spread and a case study was carried out for Emerging Seven (E7) and Group of Seven (G7) countries. It is aimed to reduce the workload of healthcare professionals and to make health plans by predicting the daily number of COVID-19 cases and deaths. Developed model was tested extensively using Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and R Squared (R2). The experimental results showed that the developed model was more successful to predict and analysis of COVID-19 cross-country spread in E7 and G7 countries than Linear Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). The developed model has R2 value close to 0.9 in predicting the number of daily cases and deaths in the majority of E7 and G7 countries. © 2023 by the authors.

Interval Load Forecasting for Individual Households in the Presence of Electric Vehicle Charging

The transition to Electric Vehicles (EV) in place of traditional internal combustion engines is increasing societal demand for electricity. The ability to integrate the additional demand from EV charging into forecasting electricity demand is critical for maintaining the reliability of electricity generation and distribution. Load forecasting studies typically exclude households with home EV charging, focusing on offices, schools, and public charging stations. Moreover, they provide point forecasts which do not offer information about prediction uncertainty. Consequently, this paper proposes the Long Short-Term Memory Bayesian Neural Networks (LSTM-BNNs) for household load forecasting in presence of EV charging. The approach takes advantage of the LSTM model to capture the time dependencies and uses the dropout layer with Bayesian inference to generate prediction intervals. Results show that the proposed LSTM-BNNs achieve accuracy similar to point forecasts with the advantage of prediction intervals. Moreover, the impact of lockdowns related to the COVID-19 pandemic on the load forecasting model is examined, and the analysis shows that there is no major change in the model performance as, for the considered households, the randomness of the EV charging outweighs the change due to pandemic.

Time series prediction of the COVID-19 outbreak in India using LSTM based deep learning models

The epidemic caused by COVID-19 presents a significant risk to the continuation of human civilisation and has already done irreparable damage to society. In this paper, forecasting of Coronavirus outbreak in India is performed by LSTM and CovnLSTM deep neural network techniques. COVID-19 data of confirmed cases of India is used. It was taken from John Hopkins University. The loss rate of ConvLSTM is lower than LSTM and RMSE of ConvLSTM is lower than LSTM. For training Covn-LSTM shows 0.069% and testing ConvLSTM shows 0.32% improvement over LSTM model. Therefore, ConvLSTM outperformed over LSTM model. Further wise selection of hyper-parameters could increase the accuracy of the models. © 2023 IEEE.

Forecasting COVID-19 Pandemic using Prophet, LSTM, hybrid GRU-LSTM, CNN-LSTM, Bi-LSTM and Stacked-LSTM for India

The COVID-19 Pandemic has been around for four years and remains a health concern for everyone. Although things are somewhat returning to normal, increased incidence of COVID-19 cases in some regions of the world (such as China, Japan, France, South Korea, etc.) has bred worry and anxiety in world, including India. The scientific community, which includes governmental organizations and healthcare facilities, was eager to learn how the COVID-19 Pandemic would develop. The current work makes an attempt to address this question by employing cutting-edge machine learning and Deep Learning algorithms to anticipate the daily incidence of COVID-19 for India over the course of the next six months. For the purpose famous timeseries algorithms were implemented including LSTM, Bi-Directional LSTM and Stacked LSTM and Prophet. Owing to success of hybrid algorithms in specific problem domains- the present study also focuses on such algorithms like GRU-LSTM, CNN-LSTM and LSTM with Attention. All these models have been trained on timeseries dataset of COVID-19 for India and performance metrics are recorded. Of all the models, the simplistic algorithms have performed better than complex and hybrid ones. Owing to this best result was obtained with Prophet, Bidirectional LSTM and Vanilla LSTM. The forecast reveals flat nature of COVID-19 case load for India in future six months. . © 2023 IEEE.

COVID-19 Prognosis from Chest X-ray Images by using Deep Learning Approaches: A Next Generation Diagnostic Tool

Global public health is overwhelmed due to the ongoing Corona Virus Disease (COVID-19). As of October 2022, the causative virus SARS-CoV-2 and its multiple variants have infected more than 600 million confirmed cases and nearly 6.5 million fatalities globally. The main objective of this reported study is to understand the COVID-19 infection better from the chest X-ray (CXR) image database of COVID-19 cases from the dataset of CXR of normal, pneumonia and COVID-19 patients. Deep learning approaches like VGG-16 and LSTM models were used to classify images as normal, pneumonia and COVID-19 impacted by extracting the features. It has been observed during the COVID-19 pandemic peaks that large number of patients could not avail medical beds and were seen stranded outdoors. To address such health emergency situations with limited available bed and scarcity of expert physicians, computer-aided analysis could save precious lives through early screening and appropriate care. Such computer-based deep-learning strategy could help during future pandemics, especially when the available health resources and the need for preventive measures to take do not match the burden of a disease. [ FROM AUTHOR] Copyright of Journal of Pure & Applied Microbiology is the property of Dr. M. N. Khan and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full . (Copyright applies to all s.)

Text Mining and Emotion Classification on Monkeypox Twitter Dataset: A Deep Learning-Natural Language Processing (NLP) Approach

Emotion classification has become a valuable tool in analyzing text and emotions people express in response to events or crises, particularly on social media and other online platforms. The recent news about monkeypox highlighted various emotions individuals felt during the outbreak. People’s opinions and concerns have been very different based on their awareness and understanding of the disease. Although there have been studies on monkeypox, emotion classification related to this virus has not been considered. As a result, this study aims to analyze the emotions individual expressed on social media posts related to the monkeypox disease. Our goal is to provide real-time information and identify critical concerns about the disease. To conduct our analysis, first, we extract and preprocess 800,000 datasets and then use NRCLexicon, a Python library, to predict and measure the emotional significance of each text. Secondly, we develop deep learning models based on Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM), and the combination of Convolutional Neural Networks and Long Short-Term Memory (CLSTM) for emotion classification. We use SMOTE (Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique) and Random Undersampling techniques to address the class imbalance in our training dataset. The results of our study revealed that the CNN model achieved the highest performance with an accuracy of 96%. Overall, emotion classification on the monkeypox dataset can be a powerful tool for improving our understanding of the disease. The findings of this study will help develop effective interventions and improve public health. Author

CovidMis20: COVID-19 Misinformation Detection System on Twitter Tweets Using Deep Learning Models

Online news and information sources are convenient and accessible ways to learn about current issues. For instance, more than 300 million people engage with posts on Twitter globally, which provides the possibility to disseminate misleading information. There are numerous cases where violent crimes have been committed due to fake news. This research presents the CovidMis20 dataset (COVID-19 Misinformation 2020 dataset), which consists of 1,375,592 tweets collected from February to July 2020. CovidMis20 can be automatically updated to fetch the latest news and is publicly available at: https://github.com/everythingguy/CovidMis20. This research was conducted using Bi-LSTM deep learning and an ensemble CNN+Bi-GRU for fake news detection. The results showed that, with testing accuracy of 92.23% and 90.56%, respectively, the ensemble CNN+Bi-GRU model consistently provided higher accuracy than the Bi-LSTM model. © 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.

Deep CNN and LSTM Architecture-Based Approach for COVID-19 Detection

The severe acute respiratory syndrome(SARS-CoV2) led to a pandemic of respiratory disease, namely COVID19. The disease has scaled worldwide and has become a global health concern. Unfortunately, the pandemic not just cost several individuals their lives but also, resulted in many people losing their jobs and life savings. In times like these, ordinary people become fearful of their resources in a world that gives its best resources to the wealthiest beings. Following the pandemic, the world suffered greatly and survival was rather difficult. As a result, numerous analytical techniques were developed to address this issue, with the key one being the discovery that the efficacy of clinically tested vaccines is actually quite poor. When researchers and medical professionals were unable to find a cure, radiologists and engineers created techniques to detect infected chests with the help of X-rays. Our proposed solution involves a CNN + LSTM model which has secured an accuracy of 98% compared to 95% of the trusted VGG-16 architecture. Our model's area under the curve (AUC) scores reached 99.458% while using RMSprop. A crucial feature of image processing till depth is accessible through scanning features from the layers of images using CNN. Our model uses 5 convolution blocks to detect the features. The coordination of activator functions, learning rates, and flattening has enabled accurate in-point predictions. With merely X-rays, models like ours ensure that anyone can easily detect covid-19. The best results obtained were at a learning rate =0.01 with RMSprop and Adam functions. The model has good fortune in detecting any other lung disease which occurs in the near future, as our data collectively rounds up to 4.5 gigabytes of data providing higher precision. © 2023 IEEE.

Forecasting Residential Energy Consumption: A Case Study for Greece

Residential energy consumption forecasting has immense value in energy efficiency and sustainability. In the current work we tried to forecast energy consumption on residences in Athens, Greece. As a proof of concept, smart sensors were installed into two residences that recorded energy consumption, as well as indoors environmental variables (humidity and temperature). It should be noted that the data set was collected during the COVID-19 pandemic. Moreover, we integrated weather data from a public weather site. A dashboard was designed to facilitate monitoring of the sensors' data. We addressed various issues related to data quality and then we tried different models to forecast daily energy consumption. In particular, LSTM neural networks, ARIMA, SARIMA, SARIMAX and Facebook (FB) Prophet were tested. Overall SARIMA and FB Prophet had the best performance. Copyright © 2023 by SCITEPRESS - Science and Technology Publications, Lda. Under CC license (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)

Comparison Analysis of Prediction the Number of Covid-19 Cases Using Support Vector Regression and Long Short-Time Memory

Covid-19 emerged as a pandemic outbreak that spread almost worldwide at the end of December 2019. While this research was carried out, the Covid-19 pandemic was still ongoing. Many countries have made various attempts to overcome Covid-19. In Indonesia, the government and stakeholders, including researchers, have made many activities to reduce the number of positive patients. One of many activities that the government made is the vaccination program. The vaccination program is believed to be the most effective in reducing the number of positive cases of Covid-19. But nobody knows when the Covid-19 pandemic will end. Stakeholder has to know how the trend of Covid-19 cases in Indonesia to make a better decision for facing Covid-19 cases. This study aims to predict the number of positive Covid-19 cases in Indonesia by conducting a comparative analysis performance of Support Vector Regression (SVR) method and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) method in machine learning to the prediction of the number of Covid-19 cases. This study was conducted using the dataset Covid-19 in Indonesia from Control Team from 13 January 2021 until 08 November 2021 and with 300 records. The evaluation has been conducted to know the performance of the model prediction number of Covid-19 with Support Vector Regression method and Long Short-Term Memory method based on values of R-Square (R2), the value of Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Square Error (MSE). The research found that the method Support Vector Regression has better performance than Long Short-Term Memory method for making a prediction of the number Covid-19 using Machine Learning model based on the value of accuracy and error rate based with the value of R-Squared, MAE, and MSE are consecutively 0.902, 0.163, and 0.072. © 2022 IEEE.

Stacked Bi-directional Long Short Term Memory model for Multi-Class Arabic Sentiment Analysis on Covid-19

The world has been affected by the Covid-19 epidemic during the last three years. During that period, most people tended to use social networks, where by searching for topics related to Covid-19, information could be provided to manage decisions by organizations or governments about public health. With the importance of the Arabic language, despite the lack of research targeting it, using Arabic language as a source of data and analyzing it due to the large number of users on social networks gives an impetus to understand people's feelings about the Covid-19 pandemic. One of the challenges facing sentiment analysis in Arabic is the use of dialects. The most common and existing methods used have been quite ineffective as they are oblivious to contextual information and cannot handle long-distance word dependencies. The Iraqi Arabic dialect is one of the Arabic dialects that still suffers from a lack of research in sentiment analysis. In this study, the official page of the Iraqi Ministry of Health on Facebook was used to collect and analysis comments. Word2vec model is incorporated to extract words semantic characteristics. To capture contextual features, Stacked Bi-directional Long Short Term Memory model (Stacked Bi-LSTM) utilizes sequential word vectors derived from the Continuous Bag of Words model. When compared to most common and existing approaches, the proposed method performed well. © 2022 IEEE.

A hybrid model for daily air quality index prediction and its performance in the face of impact effect of COVID-19 lockdown.

Accurate and dependable air quality forecasting is critical to environmental and human health. However, most methods usually aim to improve overall prediction accuracy but neglect the accuracy for unexpected incidents. In this study, a hybrid model was developed for air quality index (AQI) forecasting, and its performance during COVID-19 lockdown was analyzed. Specifically, the variational mode decomposition (VMD) was employed to decompose the original AQI sequence into some subsequences with the parameters optimized by the Whale optimization algorithm (WOA), and the residual sequence was further decomposed by the complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN). On this basis, a deep learning method bidirectional long short-term memory coupled with added time filter layer and attention mechanism (TFA-BiLSTM) was employed to explore the latent dynamic characteristics of each subsequence. This WOA-VMD-CEEMDAN-TFA-BiLSTM hybrid model was used to forecast AQI values for four cities in China, and results verified that the accuracy of the hybrid model outperformed other proposed models, achieving R2 values of 0.96-0.97. In addition, the improvement in MAE (34.71-49.65%) and RMSE (32.82-48.07%) were observed over single decomposition-based model. Notably, during the epidemic lockdown period, the hybrid model had significant superiority over other proposed models for AQI prediction.

Multi-scale sequential feature selection for disease classification using Raman spectroscopy data.

Raman spectroscopy (RS) optical technology promises non-destructive and fast application in medical disease diagnosis in a single step. However, achieving clinically relevant performance levels remains challenging due to the inability to search for significant Raman signals at different scales. Here we propose a multi-scale sequential feature selection method that can capture global sequential features and local peak features for disease classification using RS data. Specifically, we utilize the Long short-term memory network (LSTM) module to extract global sequential features in the Raman spectra, as it can capture long-term dependencies present in the Raman spectral sequences. Meanwhile, the attention mechanism is employed to select local peak features that were ignored before and are the key to distinguishing different diseases. Experimental results on three public and in-house datasets demonstrate the superiority of our model compared with state-of-the-art methods for RS classification. In particular, our model achieves an accuracy of 97.9 ± 0.2% on the COVID-19 dataset, 76.3 ± 0.4% on the H-IV dataset, and 96.8 ± 1.9% on the H-V dataset.

OutCLIP, A New Multi-Outfit CLIP Based Triplet Network

Choosing a proper outfit is one of the problems we deal with every day. Today, people tend to use online websites for shopping, and the COVID-19 situation forced this condition more than before. In this research, we proposed a new architecture for multi-fashion item retrieval from a website database. We deployed a CLIP transformer model instead of convolutional neural networks in a triplet network. We also added a long short-term memory network (LSTM) to automatically extract and code the image features to generate descriptive text for each input image. Our OutCLIP model succeeded in doing its task with 83% precision and 85% recall accuracy in multi-item retrieval. This model can be trained and used in fashion retrieval problems and improve the former proposed models. Considering the descriptive text and the image together gives the model a better understanding of the concept and improves its generalization. © 2023 IEEE.

Outbreak trends of fatality rate into coronavirus disease-2019 using deep learning

The World Health Organization (WHO) has declared the novel coronavirus as global pandemic on 11 March 2020. It was known to originate from Wuhan, China and its spread is unstoppable due to no proper medication and vaccine. The developed forecasting models predict the number of cases and its fatality rate for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), which is highly impulsive. This paper provides intrinsic algorithms namely - linear regression and long short-term memory (LSTM) using deep learning for time series-based prediction. It also uses the ReLU activation function and Adam optimiser. This paper also reports a comparative study on existing models for COVID-19 cases from different continents in the world. It also provides an extensive model that shows a brief prediction about the number of cases and time for recovered, active and deaths rate till January 2021.Copyright © 2023 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.

A Cross-Corpus Deep Learning Approach to Social Media Emotion Classification

Emotion Detection refers to the identification of emotions from contextual data in the form of written text, such as comments, posts, reviews, publications, articles, recommendations, conversations, and so on. Because of the Internet's exponential uptake and the recent coronavirus outbreak, social media platforms have become a crucial means of sharing thoughts and ideas throughout the entire globe, creating rapid data growth through users' contributions on various platforms. The necessity to acquire knowledge of their behaviors is a matter of great concern for both internet safety and privacy. In this study, we categorize emotional sentiments using deep learning models along with hybrid approaches such as LSTM, Bi-LSTM, and CNN+LSTM. When compared to existing state-of-the-art methods, the experiments showed that the suggested strategy is more robust and achieves an expressively higher quality of emotion detection with an accuracy rate of 94.16%, including strong F1-scores on complex and difficult emotion categories such as Fear (93.85%) and Anger (94.66%) through CNN+LSTM. © 2022 IEEE.

A Deep Learning Approach for Sentiment Classification of COVID-19 Vaccination Tweets

Now-a-days, social media platforms enable people to continuously express their opinions and thoughts about different topics. Monitoring and analyzing the sentiments of people is essential for governments and business organizations to better understand people's feelings and thoughts. The Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has been one of the most trending topics on social media over the last two years. Consequently, one of the preventative measures to control and prevent the spread of the virus was vaccination. A dataset was formed by collecting tweets from Twitter for over a month from November 13th to December 31st, 2021. After data cleaning, the tweets were assigned a positive, negative, or neutral label using a natural language processing (NLP) sentiment analysis tool. This study aims to analyze people's public opinion towards the vaccination process against COVID-19. To fulfil this goal, an ensemble model based on deep learning (LSTM-2BiGRU) is proposed that combines long short-term memory (LSTM) and bidirectional gated recurrent unit (BiGRU). The performance of the proposed model is compared to five traditional machine learning models, two deep learning models in addition to state-of-the-art models. By comparing the results of the models used in this study, the results reveal that the proposed model outperforms all the machine and deep learning models employed in this work with a 92.46% accuracy score. This study also shows that the number of tweets that involve neutral, positive, and negative sentiments is 517496 (37%) tweets, 484258 (34%) tweets, and 409570 (29%) tweets, respectively. The findings indicate that the number of people carrying neutral sentiments towards COVID-19 immunization through vaccines is the highest among others. © 2023, International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications. All Rights Reserved.

Forecasting the Spread of COVID-19 Using Deep Learning and Big Data Analytics Methods.

To contain the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, there is a need for cutting-edge approaches that make use of existing technology capabilities. Forecasting its spread in a single or multiple countries ahead of time is a common strategy in most research. There is, however, a need for all-inclusive studies that capitalize on the entire regions on the African continent. This study closes this gap by conducting a wide-ranging investigation and analysis to forecast COVID-19 cases and identify the most critical countries in terms of the COVID-19 pandemic in all five major African regions. The proposed approach leveraged both statistical and deep learning models that included the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model with a seasonal perspective, the long-term memory (LSTM), and Prophet models. In this approach, the forecasting problem was considered as a univariate time series problem using confirmed cumulative COVID-19 cases. The model performance was evaluated using seven performance metrics that included the mean-squared error, root mean-square error, mean absolute percentage error, symmetric mean absolute percentage error, peak signal-to-noise ratio, normalized root mean-square error, and the R2 score. The best-performing model was selected and used to make future predictions for the next 61 days. In this study, the long short-term memory model performed the best. Mali, Angola, Egypt, Somalia, and Gabon from the Western, Southern, Northern, Eastern, and Central African regions, with an expected increase of 22.77%, 18.97%, 11.83%, 10.72%, and 2.81%, respectively, were the most vulnerable countries with the highest expected increase in the number of cumulative positive cases.

Digital Disease Surveillance for Emerging Infectious Diseases: An Early Warning System Using the Internet and Social Media Data for COVID-19 Forecasting in Canada.

BACKGROUND: Emerging Infectious Diseases (EID) are a significant threat to population health globally. We aimed to examine the relationship between internet search engine queries and social media data on COVID-19 and determine if they can predict COVID-19 cases in Canada. METHODS: We analyzed Google Trends (GT) and Twitter data from 1/1/2020 to 3/31/2020 in Canada and used various signal-processing techniques to remove noise from the data. Data on COVID-19 cases was obtained from the COVID-19 Canada Open Data Working Group. We conducted time-lagged cross-correlation analyses and developed the long short-term memory model for forecasting daily COVID-19 cases. RESULTS: Among symptom keywords, "cough," "runny nose," and "anosmia" were strong signals with high cross-correlation coefficients >0.8 ( rCough = 0.825, t - 9; rRunnyNose = 0.816, t - 11; rAnosmia = 0.812, t - 3 ), showing that searching for "cough," "runny nose," and "anosmia" on GT correlated with the incidence of COVID-19 and peaked 9, 11, and 3 days earlier than the incidence peak, respectively. For symptoms- and COVID-related Tweet counts, the cross-correlations of Tweet signals and daily cases were rTweetSymptoms = 0.868, t - 11 and tTweetCOVID = 0.840, t - 10, respectively. The LSTM forecasting model achieved the best performance (MSE = 124.78, R2 = 0.88, adjusted R2 = 0.87) using GT signals with cross-correlation coefficients >0.75. Combining GT and Tweet signals did not improve the model performance. CONCLUSION: Internet search engine queries and social media data can be used as early warning signals for creating a real-time surveillance system for COVID-19 forecasting, but challenges remain in modelling.